Local Elections: North Down & Ards

The new council is effectively the amalgamation of four DEAs from North Down and three from Ards Council. And in Assembly terms, the constituency of North Down and Strangford.

The results.
SDLP 1.
Alliance 7 Greens 3
DUP 17. UUP 9. TUV 1.
Independents 2.

SDLP Perspective:
Slim pickings for nationalists. As expected the only SDLP seat was won comfortably over Sinn Fein in the nationalist enclave in the Ards Peninsula. Likewise SDLP will also take heart in the easy seat won in the Rowallane DEA (Strangford constituency and Down-Newry Council). SDLP has been knocking on the Strangford door for years and this augers well. However SDLP did not raise its head above the parapet in loyalist dominated DEAs like Newtownards and Comber.
SDLP made a token presence in two of the North Down DEAs and will be relatively pleased that there is a leftish presence in the Green Party in these DEAs. Seats for Greens means that Alliance was limited to just four in North Down constituency. This means there is relative parity between the Greens and Alliance and both will take a seat at the Assembly election in 2016.
We may see a unionist pact here for the Westminster Election…UUP getting a free run from DUP in Strangford and DUP in North Down…all part of a broader deal involving several constituencies.

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Local Elections: Fermanagh & Omagh

The Council area is made up of four electoral areas in Fermanagh (part of the Fermanagh-South Tyrone constituency) and three in the West Tyrone constituency.

The Results:
Sinn Fein 17. SDLP 8. Ind Republican 1.
DUP 5. UUP 9.

SDLP Perspective:
A very good result. SDLP took a seat in every Fermanagh area and two seats (same as SF) in Omagh and one in each of the other Tyrone DEAs.
Looking ahead to the 2016 Assembly Elections, SDLP will be thinking that it can regain the Fermanagh-South Tyrone seat, narrowly lost in 2011. The Party also polled well in South Tyrone (part of the Mid Ulster constituency).
SDLP hold an Assembly seat in West Tyrone.
The relative success in the Omagh DEAs will give the SDLP confidence that it can hold the seat, despite obvious internal divisions in the old Strabane Council District area.

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Went The Day Well?

Out and about in polling stations all day. I felt like one of those International Observers at an election in North Korea or South Sudan.
It sounds exciting but actually its a bit boring. Carrying political nerdiness to an unreasonable degree. What can I say? The lure of a Translink bus-train pass (free travel anywhere in Norn Iron) and an Election Observer pass to peek into other polling stations in exotic places proved too much.
I voted with Mrs FJH at 7.15am. It wont surprise you to know I voted SDLP, with a preference for republican and left-leaning candidates.
Frankly on a bright May morning, DUP, TUV, UKIP and Conservatives are an ugly group of people, playing to the worst in human nature.

Stayed around local polling stations for a while and used by train pass to travel to Bangor. For a moment, I was Slugger O’Toole’s freelance correspondent on the front line reporting the 5pm voter turnout at a Bangor school.
And a few hours later, I was back home, reporting on the 9pm turnout at a local school.
All that journalism made me want to lie down.

So….went the day well?
Seemingly not for NI21 as they just imploded on TV …taking personal friendships with them. Sad to see.
For SDLP? Far too soon to say.
I guess activists of all parties gathered to chew over the limited infprmation available to them. Were the people actually going into a polling station the same people who promised the canvassers a certain vote three weeks ago.
Thats the thing about Canvassing.
You knock doors.
You know that at best only 50% of people vote. You know that only a percentage voted for you last time.
You know you will get SOME abuse. Maybe about your Party. More likely about politicians in general.
You know that people who would not vote for you, will be glad that you actually ventured into seemingly unfriendly territory and at least tried.
People …even in Norn Iron… ESPECIALLY in Norn Iron…are actually nicer than you dare think.

But perhaps the basic lesson of canvassing is the discovery that people dont always tell the truth. The quickest and most polite way of getting rid of a canvasser is to simply say that “I am voting for your party”.
First time candidates get seduced by the positivity more than the abuse.
But Canvassing Returns are one thing.
Sitting in a polling station at 9pm and realising that the “certain” vote in Number 33 has not actually voted and there is only one hour left until polls close. No need to panic of course but the other “certain” votes in Number 14 has not shown up either.

So after 10pm…the de-briefing.
I have heard nothing.
Except of course (mostly thru Slugger O’Toole) reports of 9pm turnouts.
What actually does 41% mean from THIS ballot box?
Or 47% from THAT ballot box.
Is there a differential in unionist and nationalist areas? Or Belfast and West Tyrone?

So what would be a good result?
Frankly for SDLP, Alex Attwood, getting the third Euro seat would be a bonus.
And doing better than ok in the Locals.
But I think SDLP emerging as the third party in Norn Iron, a small but obvious recovery….especially as UUP declines further and Alliance cant break out of Belfast commuter belt….that would be ok.
There is a lazy narrative about SDLP…a party in “terminal decline”. I dont buy into that…but certainly true that there was a decline from 2004 to 2011.
There has been anecdotal evidence (and the Mid Ulster bye-election in March 2013) to suggest that the decline has stopped.
The SDLP will be looking for hard evidence that this is the case.

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District Councils: A Guide

I start to write this at 9am Friday.
Just as the ballot boxes are being opened in “count centres” across Norn Iron.
The District Council Election Count takes place today and tomorrow. The Euro Count takes place on Monday.
The first stage is the verification of the ballot papers.
Representatives of the main parties…the “tally men” (and women) will be straining their eyes to get a clue as to how the voting has gone. The tally men will be armed woth clip boards and have information from their (always optimistic) door knocking canvas. Does it all match up?
Nervous text messages. “Not as good as we thought in Ballymena”, “Holding our own in Newry” and “better than we thought in Lisburn”.
The Longest Day. And we all do it again tomorrow. And Monday.

The odd thing is that there has been reform of the District Councils. Their very limited powers have been extended. But the key thing is that the 26 Councils have been reformed into just eleven “Super Councils”.
This means that the actual number of councillors will be lower and it means that councils have been amalgamated.
Belfast for example has been enlarged bringing in parts of Castlereagh and parts of Lisburn.
Nationalists will outvote unionists in Belfast but the Alliance Party will still hold the balance of power in a hung Council.

Six of the remaining ten councils will be dominated by unionists….Causeway, Central Antrim, Lisburn-Castlreagh, Antrim-Newtownabbey, North Down and Armagh-Banbridge-Craigavon.

This is bad news for the small Moyle Council, a small nationalist leaning council now subsumed into Causeway Council with unionist dominated Coleraine and Ballymoney. And its bad news for nationalists in the current, balanced and enlightened Armagh Council, now to be dominated by the bigots in Craigavon and Banbridge.
Nationalists have always had a preference for power-sharing. Unionists have a preference for majority rule.

The remaining four amalgamations will be nationalist dominated. Derry-Strabane, Fermanagh-Omagh, Mid Ulster and Downpatrick-Newry.

So….at 9.15am those tally men (and women!)will be gettong their first clues.

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Louise…What Politics Should Be About

Out and about at various polling stations today, I found myself in Bangor. Met this lovely lady Louise Macartney at the Castle Polling Station.
image

Louise is an Independent candidate and its an uphill struggle for her. It is micro-politics …she is fighting for two things, the rights of disabled children and regeneration from Bangor.
Thats the thing that we tend to forget. It is not always about the “big things”.
Good people get involved for the best reasons.

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So I Voted….

Just for the record, I voted as follows.

EUROPE…1 Alex Attwood SDLP. 2 Martina Anderson SF 3 Ross Brown Green 4 Anna Lo Alliance.

The SDLP vote should stay in the race until the final count. To some extent the other votes are totemic. I surprised myself by giving Alliance a preference. First time I have ever done that. It was I suppose an acknowledgement that she has suffered racist abuse from right wing knuckle-draggers and she is the most liberal of Alliance people and seemingly analyses Norn Iron as a post-colonial problem. No vote for NI21…just too much chaos, anger, bitterness…earlier in the week, I would have given them a preference.
The others…NO. Simply put, Politics is a matter of seeing the best and worst in human nature. The right-wing parties are not a pretty sight and in the case of Tories, UKIP, DUP, TUV….a downright ugly sight.

LOCAL…I wont be specific about the Council and DEA. ….1 SDLP 2 SDLP 3 SF 4 SF 5 Independent (nationalist). No other preferences (nothing for Alliance).

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Euro Race: Runners & Riders

With the European Election tomorrow, I think it would be a good idea to list the ten candidates that are standing. It might help those who do not live in Norn Iron understand the Spectrum.
Three candidates will be elected.
The system of voting is Proportional. So each candidate will be aiming for 25% of the vote …either on first preferences or acquiring transferred votes from candidates already elected or eliminated.
In the polling station, voters will be placing 1,2,3 etc against their chosen candidate.
The Count takes place on Monday.
The figures from a Belfast Telegraph-Lucid Talk poll from three weeks ago are included as an approximate guide to relative support for parties.
The three sitting MEPs are again in the field.

Martina Anderson (Sinn Fein)…26.2% The indications are that the former IRA prisoner will top the poll and might have a small surplus of votes. I regard her as a lightweight but she has performed adequately in debates.
Diane Dodds (Democratic Unionist Party)…20.8%. Not too far away from a quota and will be helped by transfers from smaller unionist parties, as they are eliminated in successive counts. Might be some resentment at the Dodds Family Dynasty as hubby Nigel is MP for North Belfast.
Jim Nicholson (Unionist Party)…14.2%. The veteran lacks charisma and has looked tired during debates. His seat is regarded as the most vulnerable but he is still expected to make it over the finishing line.

I will look at the others in likely order of elimination.
Mark Brotherston (Conservative)…0.8%. Heading for a derisory vote as the Conservative Party means nothing here. Votes to be re-distributed among other right wing parties.
Henry Reilly (United Kingdom Independence Party)…2.1%. UKIP might well be the leading party in Britain after Euro results. It is basically like the Tea Party in USA and effectively a xenophobic and quasi racist breakaway from the Conservative Party. Will not do well here because we have already too many more established right wing nutjobs. His transfers will help Nicholson.
Ross Brown (Green Party)…2.3%. With SF and SDLP the only other left leaning parties, they will pick up transfers (Anderson may be already elected and not need them) and Alliance will pick up some.
Tina Mckenzie (NI21) …3.2%. Hard to say what effect the turmoil today will have on tomorrows voting but I think it safe to say that NI21, the great hope of liberal unionism is now a busted flush. Where do transfers go? Mostly to Alliance with some for Green, UUP and maybe SDLP.

A pause for thought here. At this stage after four eliminations, two candidates Anderson (probably) and Dodds (possibly) will be elected.
So much depends on where the remaining four candidates stand.

Nicholson will have been boosted by unionist transfers. Attwood boosted by SF transfers and possibly Green…UUP and SDLP will be running neck and neck but under the quota.
At this stage I expect Jim Allister (Traditional Ulster Voice) to be ahead of Anna Lo (Alliance Party).
Jim Allister (TUV)…7.8% plus transfers. TUV is a one man band. The forensic and articulate Allister (a barrister) was DUP MEP from 2004 to 2009 and has little respect for DUP. And might just be in with a chance of winning back his seat. He has been a star in the TV debates and has probably closed a lot of the gap with Nicholson.
Anna Lo (Alliance Party)…5.9% plus transfers. The most liberal voice on the Alliance benches at Stormont, the South Belfast MLA, who was born in Hong Kong is often the subject of racist abuse. She has caused some controversy by asserting that Norn Iron is a consequence of colonialism and seemingly endorsing a United Ireland. While Alliance have a “dont ask, dont say” culture, they are at heart a unionist party and this might damage Anna Lo.

The big question at this stage of the count is whether Allister or Lo is eliminated. More likely Lo…and I would expect the lions share of Los transfers would benefit Alex Attwood.

Alex Attwood (SDLP)…16.7% plus transfers but still short of a quota. Attwood has fought this campaign as very much the SDLP-PES candidate. PES (Party of European Socialists) is likely to be the leading party in the new European Parliament. I am of course not neutral (but even people who are not members of SDLP would say he has fought a good campaign).
But at this stage there will be three people (Attwood, Nicholson and Allister) going for one seat. I really doubt that Los transferred vote can keep Attwood ahead of the combined UUP-TUV vote. The transfers of (probably) Allister will elect Nicholson. Or maybe vice versa.

So Anderson, Dodds and (probably) Nicholson.
Alex Attwood has a decent chance of taking the seat. The SDLP would certainly have “come back”. How exactly Sinn Fein and Alliance Party would deal with a re-vitalised SDLP will be interesting. Both have been circulating around SDLP like impatient vultures.
But even clearly establishing itself as the third biggest party in terms of first preference votes would be a boost for SDLP.
And we might just have Nationalists taking two out of the three Norn Iron seats…and that would certainly galvanise voters and concentrate minds.
Except for the fact that Apathy rules.
Turnout is not expected to be above 50%.

Confused by the figures above? This might help. If the Lucid Talk poll is accurate….
The Combined “Unionist” vote is 45.7% (DUP, UUP, TUV, UKIP, Conservative).
The Combined “Nationalist-Leftist” vote is 45.2% (SF, SDLP, Green).
The Combined “LetsGetAlongerist” vote is 9.1% (Alliance, NI21).

So….all to play for.

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NI21…Officially A Joke

The line between Political Reality and Political Fantasy…does it even exist anymore?
For the best part of a year, two UUP MLAs, Basil McCrea and John McCallister …two liberals in a notoriously conservative Party…dithered about leaving the UUP.
Speculation that they might join the Conservative Party. Speculation that they might join Alliance as some minor UUP figures (Bradshaw, Parsley and Hamilton) had already done.
During that year 2012-2013, they got a lot of media attention…mostly favourable…and together created a lot of goodwill as being self-effacing and presenting themselves as a double act.
In June last year, I attended the official launch of their new Party…a sincere attempt to create a version of unionism that was non-sectarian and not toxic to Catholics or indeed any Protestant born after the 18th century.
Certainly the new Party…NI21 seemed a departure from the norm.
And then it started to go wrong.
NI21 is amateurish…and in June 2013, that seemed to be endearing, especially as it brought on board new people who had never been involved in Norn Iron politics…the disenfranchised middle class.
NI21 is of course a rival of the Alliance Party, the market leader in LetsGetAlongerism. And the arrival of NI21 meant that the Alliance, a thoroughly ruthless and professional machine had to deal with the threat to their market share.
The chaotic nature of NI21 and occasional inability to take things seriously and the outsize ego of Basil McCrea made it easy to ridicule the new Party.

In the past few weeks…during the Euro and local Election campaign, they have been making too many mistakes. The amateurism…once attractive…is no longer acceptable.

Yesterday…they excelled themselves in Stupidity.
McCrea called McCallister to a meeting of some (SIX!!) members of the Party Executive (including Euro candidate, Tina McKenzie) and the Executive decided by five votes to one ( McCallister) to change from being a “unionist” Party to being “open” on the issue of the Union with Britain.
From a nationalist perspective this might be good news …another brick in unionism is gone. But it is crazy stuff…less than 48 hours before polls open to fight their first ever election.
The vast majority of NI21 candidates are new to politics. They have knocked doors and distributed leaflets as a moderate unionist Party…their unique selling point.
Not only is it crazy to do this so close to an election, it is downright arrogant to limit the decision to just six people.
McCallister has been left high and dry.
Seemingly this is a whim of McCrea.
The feedback from canvassing was that some people wont vote for them because they are “unionist” but otherwise wish them well. To change core policy …core identity …on a whim is madness.

NI21…a joke.

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The Boston Bunglers?

Where do I really start to tell the story of the Boston College tapes? I have largely avoided the issue, in part because it is a fast moving story, in part because other “real” news sources can do it better than I can…and in part because the people involved are heavyweight figures.
It can surprise few that there is an “archive” or indeed more than one archive of the Troubles. I have certainly written extensively about that period in my life. And I have had an eye to the Future. Important to me that my children and beyond should know stuff about me, how I thought at a crucial moment in their nations history.

An Archive…its been spoken about a lot…even respectable Conflict Resolutionists talk about Truth Commissions. It almost follows that those who collate archives have a certain “privilege”…like a solicitor, a medical practitioner or a journalist. Or a priest in a confessional. Even non-believers would understand that Society would be a worse place if priests were prosecuted for not breaking the confessional seal.
Which brings me to…Historians.
Do they too have a privilege or a responsibility in respect of Secrecy.
Can (in the long term) History be served by (in the short term) invoking Secrecy?
Is it not implied that when compiling an Archive, normal rules of civic responsibility are suspended?

Which brings me to Jean McConville.
The known facts in the public domain were/are that she was abducted from her home, murdered by the IRA and secretly buried. Although the IRA genuinely tried to establish her secret burial place, as part of the Peace Process, her remains lay in a beach in County Louth until their accidental discovery a few years ago.
The nature of the IRA in 1972 was that it was organised in Brigades, Battalions and Companies.
Thus the location of Jeans abduction from Divis Street points to the Belfast Brigade …the Second Battalion and D Company.
The collective responsibility might well fall on that precise local unit. In Republican folklore, names of personnel are known.
Forward then to “Voices from the Grave” a book published by Ed Moloney, a journalist. The specific voice from the grave is Brendan Hughes, a hero in West Belfast Republican circles. In the book, published after Hughes death from natural causes…Hughes admits his involvement and says that Gerry Adams, who carried Hughes coffin gave the orders.

OK. Some points. It was known that Brendan Hughes was critical of the Sinn Fein Peace Strategy but my recollection is that he was primarily a silent critic. Hughes admits to his IRA history. Gerry Adams has always denied membership.
IRA “rules” state that a member must never admit membership.
So….a denial can be a simple truth or simply following the rule book. Certainly members of IRA would not have had a problem with a hypothetical leader who routinely denies membership and indeed when the denial of a hypothetical member is in the face of seeming evidence to the contrary, then there is a certain admiration.
Adams has always denied membership of IRA, while of course leading Sinn Fein.
Back in the early days of the Troubles as (I think) Brian Feeney states in his book, Sinn Fein were no more than the non combatant parents and wives of active IRA people.
As the Hunger Strike ended it was apparent that Sinn Fein was now in the hands of men who had been ex-prisoners.
As the line between Sinn Fein and IRA was being blurred…”the ballot box and armalite” strategy, it suited Sinn Fein to emphasise that they were legitimate politicians. And frankly that also suited every other party to later peace negotiations.
The Creative Ambiguity of the Peace Process emphasised that the British and unionists were indeed talking to Sinn Fein. Paradoxically, real politik demanded that Sinn Fein could indeed “deliver” the IRA.
So it suited everyone to play up that Gerry Adams was indeed a politician.
And in the REAL WORLD, nobody who signed the Good Friday Agreement in 1998 seriously believed that no signatory would end up in jail for an offence committed in 1972.

So Gerry Adams could ride out the storm from “Voices From the Grave”. Sinn Fein criticism of Hughes was necessarily muted. He was simply too popular with the rank and file. Hughes was in part portrayed as bitter, ill and wounded by the Troubles. Blame fell on Ed Moloney, the journalist who had been a long standing critic of Sinn Fein.
Yet it has to be said that while unionists, journalists and academics wonder about Gerry Adams, it had no material effect on his popularity in West Belfast and indeed no obstacle to him being elected to An Dail (for the Louth Constituency) in 2011.
There is some debate over the ethics of the interview that another IRA hero gave. Dolours Price, a more outspoken critic of Adams accused him of ordering a lot of things, including the abduction of Jean McConville.
At this point…in my recollection, the Boston College archive moves centre stage. Ms Price, who died last year had been recorded by the researchers. And she indicates the extent of the project.
Again the Adams tactic is to dismiss the critic…not easy. Price had served a long prison sentence, been force-fed on hunger strike and clearly vulnerable. And clearly opposed to the Adams Strategy.
At this point, Adams needs to be careful. Balancing sympathy for Prices vulnerability and noting that she is a “dissident voice” who have an agenda.

But what exactly are the Police Service for Norn Iron supposed to do?
They are now presented with a prima facie case that there is an archive of tapes in Boston College. There is no official “amnesty” and there IS an agreement between Britain and Inited States on dealing with “Terrorism”.
What would the presentation be at a high level meeting at Police Headquarters?
Well I think there are three points to be made.
1…the Police Hierarchy would really prefer if it hadnt happened. They will know that nearly two hundred IRA “On The Runs” hold letters which are de facto letters of amnesty. Nobody is going to be prosecuted because the Good Friday Agreement is paramount.
2…the old RUC types in the new PSNI would undoubtedly have seized on it as a chance to “get Gerry Adams”
And
3…real PSNI people would have argued that a decent police service has to uphold the law and follow the evidence. They should at least go to the United States to get the tapes.
Which is what they do.

So the Americans go to Boston on behalf of the PSNI.
And Boston College caves in (or abides by the American law).
And seemingly Boston College LIBRARY is more involved than their own Department of History.

But where does this leave Ed Moloney and Researcher, Anthony McIntyre.
I declare an interest here. I went back to University in my 50s and am singularly impressed by people who know more than I do. Especially of the Troubles period 1969-1998. I have encountered many such people. And I am singularly unimpressed by people who are younger than my children and point to their PhD as some kinda evidence that they know more than me about that period. Ive encountered a few.
So Anthony McIntyre is a PhD. He completed the PhD at Queens University Belfast. Was it under the supervision of Professor Paul Bew?
Clearly that PhD carries weight in academic circles. He doesnt really need it to impress me. He is after all a West Belfast man of my vintage. And he spent eighteen years in prison as a convicted IRA murderer…so I reckon thats a bigger tribute to his expertise in some areas than the actual PhD.
“Mackers PhD”…to be honest always strikes me as a blow-hard, playing up the whole authentic West Belfast man for the Educational and Journalistic Establishment. Which is actually what Danny Morrison his fiercest critic is.
An odd symmetry.
The irony is that Mackers PhD…”journalist” is an unreconstructed critic of Sinn Feins Peace Strategy. He has even written a book “Good Friday:Death of irish Republicanism”.
And Morrison…a former internee, who was wrongly imprisoned for some years, former (still?) organiser of the West Belfast Festival …”journalist”. Blowhard.

Actually Mackers, Danny and myself have a lot in common. West Belfast blowhards, bloggers, who impress people who should know better.
Anyway Mackers is the Researcher and Dissident.
Does he have an agenda as his critics like Morrison claim?
Or is a fearless academic under verbal attack and even threat of physical harm from the Sinn Fein Machine? There are even calls for the United States to give him asylum.

You pays your money and makes your choice. Internal Republican disputes are an ugly thing. Words like “tout”, “traitor” and (in Adams case) “visionary” are bandied about.
The revelation that McIntyre (and his partner) were paid for the research….seemingly by Boston is potentially damaging.
But with at least one former leading Belfast Republican, Ivor Bell (77) facing charges in relation to the death of Jean McConville…then the stakes are certainly high. It is stated that the Boston tapes contain numerous (and maybe even disproportionate) references to that single murder.
It is alleged that there are elements in PSNI who are out to “get Gerry Adams”. Can the same be said of Moloney and Mackers PhD?

And Gerry Adams? Well three weeks ago, he kept an appointment at Antrim PSNI station and was promptly arrested and questioned for four days.
Adams and Sinn Fein claim it was “political policing” by unreconstructed elements in PSNI and designed to disrupt Sinn Feins election campaign in the North and (especially) in Republic of Ireland.
Is that true.
Political Policing? Yes. The decision to question Adams is political and so was the years of NOT questioning Adams.
And the Election Campaign? No….I dont buy that. Gerry lives in County Louth. He went to Antrim PSNI, by appointment. I am sure if he had told PSNI “look guys I have an election campaign…can this wait four weeks”, there would have been no problem.

Yet I suspect Sinn Fein over-reacted and over-played their hand during Adams time in custody. THAT “spontaneous” Mural at Divis Street in which Gerry was lauded as “Leader…Peacemaker…Visionary” would have been hyperbole even if it was not just a matter of metres from the spot where Jean McConville was abducted. Tacky. Tacky. Tacky.
And the sudden re-appearance of West Belfast republicans…men with a whiff of cordite about them…on the streets was ominous. For once overshadowing the new, fresh faced Sinn Fein youngsters.
Boston College does not come thru this well. Not only does their Department of History seem to have fallen out with its own Library…Moloney and McIntyre feel they were hung out to dry and that the College should have resisted the US authorities or at least given them a better understanding of the risks.
And Paul Bew?
Well I declare an interest. When I went back to Queens University almost a decade ago, Bew was just about the best tutor I encountered there. He is a few years older than me and actually valued my contributions in tutorials, more than any other “youthful English PhD who knew it all”. Bew actually valued me as a source.
But we all go on journeys. As a student at QUB in 1968, Paul Bew was a radical left winger. He was even one of the leaders of the very first Civil Rights march in which I (as a 16 year old) participated…Monday 7th October 1968.
And he was even one of the leaders of the Peoples Democracy march, ambushed and beaten up by RUC, B Specials and loyalists at Burntollet Bridge, near Derry (January 1969).
So what happened?
Bew was one of the advisors to David Trimble (UUP Leader) before and after the Good Friday Agreement.
Now he is fully signed up member of the Henry Jackson Society (the neo-con think tank) and actually an Independent member of the British “House of Lords”. And the Commissioner for Public Standards in Britain.
While Danny Morrison (never one to miss a good conspiracy theory) perhaps overstates the role of Paul Bew in this debacle…and Bew perhaps understates it….there are indeed questions around his role of “facilitator” to it all.

And perhaps an odd footnote. Having spent decades denying being an IRA Leader and getting a bit snippy with journalists who asked the question, Gerry Adams has now stated that he has “never disassociated” himself from the IRA.
This is very significant as I think it should be seen alongside new impetus for “Truth”, “Victims”….and Amnesty. These calls seem to have the backing of the political Establishment.

So Gerry just another West Belfast blowhard. Like Danny and Mackers PhD. And …me.
Four men, all in our late 50s and early 60s who were complete nobodies with little future in August 1969.
Look at Gerry.
Look at Danny.
Look at Mackers PhD.
Look at FitzjamesHorse…Well ok I am still a complete nobody in 2014. But you take my point.

But if this West Belfast Blowhard is entitled to one observation.
What exactly is the point of publishing these memoirs after the death of ONE contributor…in this case Brendan Hughes?
Surely this puts other people, including other contributors at a disadvantage.
Surely the Boston Project would carry more weight if published after the death of ALL participants.

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Max Power

There are really two ways to look at the Fall of a powerful man.
Uncontrolled Glee.
Or Sympathy.
Thus…when Jeffrey Archer is imprisoned for Perjury, it makes a lot of people happy.
It is not the nicest human emotion, the nearest we will get to going to a public execution.

So…Max Clifford.
“Max Clifford, PR Guru” is how he is usually described.
And Max, 71 has been jailed for eight years.
He made a lot of people rich by representing them.
And he made a lot of enemies. Especially the powerful whose careers he effectively ended.

And some of the stories he sold to the newspapers for over more than two decades…were simply lies. Entertaining lies. Such as the story about Comedian, Freddie Starr.
“Freddie Starr Ate My Hamster” remains a classic headline in the detestable British tabloid newspaper industry.
To some extent, Freddie Starr is defined by that headline from over thirty years ago.
Thus Clifford who has represented O J Simpson and has been the “agent” for far too many “kiss and tell” models, who have allegedly been left broken hearted by seemingly casual relationships with celebs.
It is standard fare for British tabloids.
When Clifford revealed that British Tory cabinet minister David Mellor was involved with a much younger and more attractive lady (frankly Mellor has the sort of face that scares children) the story was embellished and Mellor was stated to have made love wearing a Chelsea football shirt.
In fact he had not worn a Chelsea shirt at all but a rich, powerful, middle aged, ugly man was made to look even more absurd by the embellishment.
Sleaze sells. And GOD knows there is enough sleaze in London to fill tabloids.

Yet it turns out that Max Clifford was more sleazy than anyone he ever exposed. Sexual Assault is serious and he will serve at least four years in jail.
The people he tormented will raise a few glasses.
Yet perhaps there are two shocking facts. One is that “everybody” knew. “Everybody” being the tabloid hacks who fed off the stories.
And the second shock is that Clifford himself did not, by his court demeanour take his crimes too seriously.

We live in an era where everything is said to be post-modern.
Fifty years ago, women were exploited by men. It was casual. It was…expected.
And Clifford’s crimes have their origins in the 1960s and 1970s.
Swinging London.
It was an odd time that I can actually remember, albeit from the perspective of a Catholic child and teen in West Belfast.
Did the mini-skirt and the “pill” really liberate a generation of young women? Or did it actually belittle them more?
Take classic BBC comedy like “The Likely Lads”, almost weekly plots where two young men plotted to get their casual girlfriends drunk and have sex. Viewed in 1966, these were two …well…likely lads…doing what young men do. But viewed in 2014, this is actually a criminal offence.
Set in 1970, the 1980s TV mini-series “The History Man” (based on the book by Malcolm Bradbury) told the story of a university lecturer who was predatory towards his female students. It was…a comedy.
Likewise TV …chronicled the changes from say 1965 to 1975 and we were led to believe that it was a form of liberation. But four or five decades later, the excesses of rock stars with their groupies looks increasingly sordid.
And that is actually the world that Max Clifford inhabited.
Basically a record plugger and fixer on the edge of the pop scene in London in the 1960s, he was in a position to arrange….by his own boast…sex parties. He knew the rock star secrets and he knew how to protect them.
Perhaps thats the oddest thing about his career.
That he used his expertise to protect his clients.
And used it to damage others.

As TV personalities from that era go thru the courts…the revelation of a sense of entitlement among the Rich and Famous emerges. Evidence is heard that “he was powerful”. It is a peculiar situation that SOME people seem accountable for SOME crimes committed decades ago. While it is obviously right to do so…it seems unbalanced. This was a time when young men were encouraged to “fill their boots”. The Rich and the Famous had more access.
But we seem to be putting a Decade 1965-1975 on trial also.
Which raises the question of how the early part of the 21st century will be viewed in fifty years time.

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