BBC Spotlight …Fair?

So on 7th March 2013, we have a bye election in Mid Ulster and BBC Spotlight stages a “Special”.

And the five panelists are Mitchel McLaughlin (Sinn Féin), Mike Nesbitt (UUP), Arlene Foster (DUP), Steven Agnew (Green) and Bernadette McAliskey self identifying as a Republican Socialist and Feminist.

Now that seems odd…two Republicans…but with the best will in the world, Bernie is now a fringe performer. Clearly a former MP for the area but just how relevant is she at this time? I dont think that in 2013, she is as relevant as Patsy McGlone of SDLP.

Steven Agnew of the Green Party got the “middle ground” gig tonight. And that seems (for once) unfair on the Alliance Party…not that I am overly concerned.

And Arlene Foster AND Mike Nesbitt???? What is the point when they are running an agreed candidate in Mid Ulster???

Not at all good.

 

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Alliance: Be Careful What You Wish For

John McCallister and Basil McCrea have left the UUP. So…the middle ground is now bigger. So this is good news for the Alliance Party, the brand leader in middle ground politics.

Well…seemingly not. For John and Basil have NOT joined the Alliance Party but are intent on forming a political party of their own…a liberal unionist Party.

It might well be the case that they can attract Catholic votes…but are these new voters, former nationalist voters.

I think it is I unlikely that any pro-union Party can attract nationalist votes. The clue is in the name. No matter how “pragmatic” the unionism…NHS, economics…it’s a unionist party.

There is disappointment in the Alliance Party that McCallister and McCrea have not joined them. Are they really so different from Harry Hamilton, Paula Bradshaw and Ian Parsley who jumped ship from UUP to Alliance…and were as avowedly unionist as McCallister and McCrea in 2010, when they all fought the Westminster Election as party colleagues.

Now members of a Party which claims to be agnostic…a designation which has suited it…agnostic as a Party but with a membership who are unionist (likely), agnostic (likely) and nationalists (not very likely).

The Alliance Party will have bad memories of the last time they had to compete for votes in the centre ground. …with the Women’s Coalition. The Alliance Party as always been vitriolic about the Women’s Coalition. And certainly the attitude to the new Party will be interesting.

The Alliance Party was founded as a liberal unionist party and is…I would argue a coalition of liberal unionists and letsgetalongerists.

McCallister, McCrea and others may well try and start a new party….and it might be one without overt unionist symbolism but McCallister and McCrea will have difficulty shaking off the British flags on their UNCUF election posters….but then so will Harry Hamilton, Paula Bradshaw and Ian Parsley…in the AllIance Party.

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And Then There Were…Fourteen…..Er Thirteen

Ooops…he did it again. Mike Nesbitt that is.

Does he seriously think that he is doing a good job in leading the UUP? Does any member of the UUP think that?

He is a disaster…..but lets be frank. One of the Unionist parties in disarray brings is not something which should concern nationalists.

Losing David McNarry is unfortunate. Losing John McCallister today is careless. Losing Basil McCrea????

The UUP had sixteen seats in the Assembly Election 2011….and has now seen two MLAs defect in very different directions. The UUP now have fourteen seats…and may soon slip to thirteen. It vexates Conall McDevitt of SDLP that UUP will still retain a position senior to SDLP.

On this …Conall is plain wrong. The real scandal is that the Alliance Party on 52,000 votes has two seats on the Executive, allowing the ridiculous David Ford to swagger and prance around as the imagined Leader of Norn Irons third party, rather than the fifth party. And the BBC seemed more than happy to indulge Fords fantasy.

It gives me no pleasure to say that two years ago, I blogged on other sites that the Alliance Party’s tactic, was to secure just one additional Assembly seat…and get that all important Executive seat. Nor does it give me any pleasure to say that I spoke about this to SDLP MLAs and suggested that SDLP needed to direct hostile fire on the Alliance Party. This they n manifestly failed to do.

Granted SDLP thought that they would do better in 2011. And in that context thought that the harmless Alliance Party might be ok with an extra seat. If that is the case then the SDLP strategists got it badly wrong.

The Alliance Party may well claim to be representative in religious terms but it is unknown and even invisible in large areas of Norn Iron….the kinda areas unknown to too many elitist folks in Belfast.

The Alliance Party is no friend of SDLP.

Oh Stop Press: Basil McCrea…he has also left. (that’s the problem with trying to follow events in A different time zone). It’s not just a matter of losing personnel….UUP are losing their senior people. McNarry, McCallister and McCrea were big hitters and will get more media attention than anybody promoted to join Nesbitt and Kennedy. A comeback for Elliott and McGimpsey and Kinahan is capàble…but there is not exactly an abundance of talent on the UUP benches.

Whether McCallister or McCrea stay independent or form a knew party or join Conservatives or Alliance depends on local circumstances.

Alliance needs them. …perhaps as a partner rather than within the Party.

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Life Changing?

Well this is a bit awkward. I am in San Marcos City Library in Texas. Incredibly nice friendly people. I have an all day pass here………it has cost me ONE DOLLAR. The staff are friendly.

Outside this morning …waiting for doors to open. Sitting on a bench. Head a bit low. I didnt even see the young jogger. Just had to look up when she said “Good morning sir”. I could only splutter out “good morning” but she had gone by..but not far enough for me not to notice she was pretty.

We wouldnt get that at home. We scoff at American “have a nice day”culture…and it CAN grate a bit in restaurants and bars. And it seems odd when children of friends call me “Mister J***”.

But this is a new experience for me…Respect.

Not on a personal level. But on some kinda different plane.

Its variable of course. San Marcos is a college town, liberal values. San Antonio seemed…………and it is different.

I have some serious thinking to do when I get home.

I am 60 years old. Theres a difference between “new beginnings” and simply a culmination that the last few years, personal friendships, writing on MySpace, blogging on the Czar in Texas have inevitably led to this…

Can I go on in a new direction? Should I just quit while I am ahead.

 

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Pope Resigns!

I’m pretty sure that if you check the Creative Ambiguity in the Good Friday Agreement….a resignation by the Pope …automatically leads to the abdication of the Queen of England.

I feel verity detached over here. I COULD watch analysis on American TV News and I COULD search Tinternet but somehow I feel like I am “off duty” here and I couldn’t be arrested.

But s just a few points. I am in the city of San Marcos, home of Texas State University about thirty miles from Austin, Texas State Capital and about forty five miles from San Antonio.

As you probably know, I take an interest in Religion. San Marcos is in the Diocese of Austin. I have been looking around two parish churches.

To be pedantic …the Catholic Chaplaincy is not a parish but it has a community …the staff and students at TSU. I suppose it is classic Town and Gown syndrome but the information etc in teat spacious foyer shows that the people most involved in the community have Hispanic names…my impression and I base it on observation and guesswork is that the regulars in the Church are from a wider ethnic base….but the activists and driving force.

Thr local parish is just across the road from me. Heavily “Spanish”….most of the people I have seen in and around the Church are clearly Hispanic. There are very spacious grounds and it ghastly a small platform for open air services including Crucifiction on Good Friday.Two priests…one is “Spanish”, the other “Korean”. The names on the parish council are overwhelmingly “Spanish” …and tellingly there are thirty four students for the priesthood in the Diocese…and I would guess that at least 80% are Hispanic.

Now of course, we all know that Texas has a high proportion of ethnic Mexicansbut I would have thought it more balanced in terms of numbers. Is ita question of NUMBERS or ACTIVISM…

Either way we are at some point going to have to face the fact that the Catholic Church is not just about Italy or even southern European “kingdoms” like France, Spain, Austria and Bavaria.

Next Pope? …No idea.

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Is Anybody Goin To San Antone?

Very pleasant day in San Antonio Texas.

River Walk. Souvenir Shops, Durty Nellies Irish Pub.

And…the Alamo.

The thing that surprises many is that the Old Spanish Mission is right in the middle of one of the largest cities in Texas. The city itself is a skyline of very impressive hotels, conference centres etc.

There is a large monument in the Plaza dedicated to those who died for Texas….as many if not all Texans might see it.

The Gardens around the Chapel are impressive, with very pleasant restrooms which would deter even Ossy Osborne from repeating his party piece.

The Chapel is small, some artefacts….and at the back wall, six flags which have flown over the Alamo…the French Fleurs de Lys, The Royal Spanish Flag, Mexico, Confederate States, Texas and United States of America.

And there are flags from the States which supplied the Alamo garrison.

And from the countries which were the birthplaces of the foreigners in the garrison.

But here’s a strange thing….the flag of Denmark, unchanged since 1836, the modern flag of Grrmany which did not actually exist in 1836 and the Republic of Texas.

Flags of Scotland, England and Wales…but no flag of the “United Kingdom”. Does  this chip away at the identity of Willie Frazer? I hope he stages a protest.

And there is a modern Irish flag but Ireexist didn’t actually exist to…in a manner of speaking.

is there a Norn Iron flag there….alaa not. Jamie Bryssat should protest.

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Texas Update

I have now completed the chats here at Texas State University.

Probably one of the most interesting and wonderful experiences of my life. It might even be lifechanging. 

To give a flavour of the Discussion, you need to know that it was accompanied by handouts…a short list of people I knew who had died from violence and the circumstances of those deaths…..a handout on the current Assembly/Executive strength…an arc of events 1971/72 (long time readers will be familiar with that)….some anecdotes….

There was also a range of material available which included a Give My Head Peace DVD….material from Ulster Scots Agency…stuff from Healing Thru Remembering….about thirty postcards of murals etc.

The following piece on Conflict Resolution is if you like Part 2…..Part 1, which dealt with 1963-1998 as seen thru the prism of my own experiences is too personal to be published here. Apologies for lapses in standard …spelling, syntax etc….as it was composed on ipad with all the problems of “auto correct”…most of which I have dealt with. It also necessarily does not include asides, ad-libs, clarifications, questions etc.

Dia Daoibh ….failte aris,

Conflict Resolution. I think it’s a happy coincidence that on bThursday when I first saw this room, I noticed a plague at the back of the room, dedicated to a Professor Swinney….whose field of expertise was Reconstruction after the American Civil War.
And really Conflict Resolution is a form of Reconstruction.

I think when we talk about Conflict Resolution there are actually two different things. We are talking about the measures that brought about the end of the Norn Iron Conflict in 1998….that is the Good Friday Agreement and it’s immediate aftermath. A process led by POLITICIANS….and PEOPLE.
And increasingly we are talking about a series of proposals to further implement the Agreement or second guess it. This is a process led by ACADEMICS and…HISTORIANS.

For me the Good Friday Agreement is the only show in town. It deserves credit for ending thirty years of conflict. It has also been endorsed in referendums by the people of Ireland.
There is one major problem for me…CREATIVE AMBIGUITY.
wording so deliberately vague that it can mean all things to all people. But it was in essence sold to Nationalists as a series of steps towards a United Ireland and sold to Unionists as a series of obstacles to a United Ireland.
It might be one, might be the other…it might be neither. it is NOT both.

At its heart jis a statement that Norn Iron will remain a part of UK as long as the people of NI wish to be …that SEEMS clear. But there is a subtle balance. The British would facilitate change. But it enshrines the right of a part of UK to secede from the Union. Michigan and Georgia don’t have that right. Yes I know that Texas does have that right.

The Agreemment also specifies that everyone living in Norn Iron has a right to self identify as British or Irish …or both. Now in practical terms that means that a very considerable part oOf the population…and I don’t think figures are reliable….are actually citizens of ANOTHER country.

now I don’t want to go into detail about the AGreement itself…but it’s most obvious manifestation is a power sharing Executive. Now in a separate handout I have shown how the Assembly/Parliament is
Elected and the current strength.
It’s fair to say that it has not turned out as expected. The clear intention was for a multi Party government where power was in the hands of moderate unionists and moderate nationalists…and that the more hard line unionists and nationalists would be marginalised or controlled.
But the reality is that the more extreme elements are in control and the moderates marginalised. And in a peculiar way the extremists actualy work well together. after all they might be political enemies but they will never be political rivals.
ts been described by SDLPs former Leader as a one party state with a unionist wing and a nationalist wing. that’s fair comment
Now I should declare an interest.  Am a nationalist….a pan nationalist but I am currently a member of SDLP…the moderate nationalist party. and like everyone else I vote on a combination of PRINCIPLE and narrow SELF INTEREST.
So largely in the Political Sense….the structures in POLITICS works. There is one uncomfortable fact about a five party government. There is no Opposition. The Good Friday Agreementdoes not envisage it. Is it truly democratic? Do all governments need an alternative? See also the hand out in your folder on the Alliance Party.

One of the difficulties about the Agreement was Policing …the old RUC was discredited but supported by unionists …despised by nationalists. The solution was to award the RUC Britains second highest gallantry medal….and then disband them. Police veterans were encouraged to retire on very generous payouts and a recruiting scheme introduced to better reflect Demographics. now this was sold and I think…HONESTLY as a modernisation. Police had certainly built up a reputation with casual sectarianism, racism and sexism….canteen culture.
And I think the new Police Service of NI has actually done wonderful things. ts made the service more user friendly for women officers and importantly when you see a group of officers, there can be no assumption as to their religion or political affiliation. a slight caveat that the old RUC was too close to the unionist narrative and the new PSNI are just too close to the new “feel good narrative”.
As for paramilitaries. The IRA has decommissioned it’s weapons and the IRA …apart from dissident groups….ALLEGEDLY no longer exists. I say ALLEGEDLY because the reality is that the Process works because the IRA is involved. That was the whole idea in the first place.
Some loyalist groups have not disarmed but are kept happy by large amounts of government money, which they distribute to their community in their role as community workers.

All paramilitary prisoners…”terrorists” were released from prison two years after the Agreement. An amnesty. And some of them are noW actually in the Government.
But what about unsolved crimes, including those carried out by the IRA…now in government. As always it’s ambiguous. The unionists insisted that there would be no amnesty and there is a …deliberately under resourced COLD CASE team looking into cases.
but nobody seems enthusiastic. Old cases highlight collusion and lifts the lid on some pretty tacky aspects of Terrorism and Countrr Terrorism and their connexion.
Inquiries such as the Saville Inquiry into Bloody Sunday…findings published in 2010….cost $500 million. The findings vindicating the victims. Of course this only confirmed what we all knew anyway. Do these very public and expensive enquiries….merely enrich the legal profession? Do they bring closure? Do they provoke a round of Whataboutery?

Dealing with the Past …there were grandiose ideas for dealing with the legacy of the Troubles. Heady talk about abSouth African TruthnCommission. But the moment seems to have passed….and nobody seems interested in taking it up again.
Likewise a body was set up to look into a Bill of Rights….after ;fifteen years there is no progress.
Victims….we’re meant to be a key part of the post Agreement. buut again it’s a matter of setting up a Commission…and then doing nothing. Two people one Protestant one Catholic were given the task of reporting on this and they were crucified by the Media for the headline proposal….give £30,000 to the family of each of the 3,500 victims.
Now Sinn Fein would consider that all 3,500 are victims.
There is no hierarchy of “victims”
But unionists insist that there is….that innocent civilians or police army are more deserving
If you look at the list of names on your list…people I knew…look at XXXX and XXXX. Both these people are “victims”. Which family is more deserving?
Frankly the proposal and reaction fatally undermined the entire idea.
Irish Language Act….the Irish language was guaranteed equality. And this is perhaps the most curious case of Creative Ambiguity. To facilitate Irish….a language was practically min vented for Ulster Scots. I support the Good Friday Agreement and in that spirit I will not comment on the validity of the language…..except as a neutral to say …it is risible nonsense.

And essentially that’s OFFICIAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION. It brought Peace, but never really followed thru. The Ambiguity is its strength AND weakness. at best I think we should just leave it. It’s not broke …don’t fix it.

UNOFFICIAL CONFLICT RESOLUTION.
There is a second fom of Conflict Resolution …people who think that key aspects of the Agrement have not been implemented…or that it can be second guessed in some way.
Now I am only familiar with the actual term Conflict Resolution over the past five years or so.
And I worry about it.
I voted for the Good Friday Agreement. Even then it was not about me. It was about my children. Now it’s about my children and my grandchildren.
I don’t want it messed with…not by academics, not by foreign academics.

The art of the politician is Ambiguity. the Art of the Historian is Clarity.
There is nothing new about Conflict Resolution….unfortunately the clearest examples of Resolution come after a war. Reconstruction in the old Confedracy was only possible because of a courthouse in Virginia. Resolution in WW2 only possible because of a suicide in a Berlin bunker….and so on.

There are now several organisations formed which are in some way pushing a Conflict Resolution agenda…and their own agenda.
They are supportive of each other. And there is practically an industry…grant funded by Bitain, Ireland, Europe, United States….and by Trusts and Foundations.
I have brought over some information on Healing Thru Remembering, which as the name suggests is about collating stories but as you will see from the Annual Report it is top heavy with academics and REAL people are conspicuous by their absence. Conflict Resolution becomes a means of academics exchanging papers, rather than actually DO something.
Inviting each other to conferences.
I have tongue in cheek suggested that I form a body called Healing Thru Amnesia….where I will be financed by a gullible Trust Fund to forget about things…especially what I have done with their money.

The Integrated Education movement is part of the broader Conflict Resolution movement …but there is no true neutral value.
it’s the nature of nationalism to be DIFFERENT….integrated education is essentially a unionist value.
To be able to GET ALONG is of course a good thing but getting along is NOT a political philosophy. A few years ago I coined the phrase LETSGETALONGERISM …as the third tribe in Norn Iron. Shallow meaningless sloganising disguised as policy. Fluffy kittens unused to scrutiny.

I attended a Conference two years ago, hosted by the British Irish JInstitute.
An all day event with about two hundred people. the theme….does the Arts and Culture world have an obligation…especially if publicly funded….to present good news to give a positive image of Norn Iron. The resounding answer from the artists was NO they don’t …but that presents a problem.
Among the postcards you will see three generations of wall murals…primitive ones which I obtained in republican and loyalist bookshops…then better ones got sold in mainstream shops….now a third generation depicting CS Lewis, The Titanic, George Best….these later murals are now part of the narrative being sold to the world.

Irish nationalists have had long experience of presenting their case thru music, literature, movies, poetry etc. in Boston bars and Australian beaches and the Irish case is well known in Unionists have been slower to see the value of that. Who really knows the unionist case? And to some extent unionists have re-invented themselves as an ethnic minority.
They now tend to think of themselves as Ulster Scots….a term largely unknown three decades ago. In some way this ties in with a new sense of how British people WANT to be seen…a multi ethnic society. You might have noticed the Olympics in London projected this.

Hence a series of books to tell the Ulster Scots story …XXXXXXX XXXXXXX Scottish Country Dancing, Ulster Smerican Folk Park,….eleven Presidents of USA having roots in Ulster. It’s almost a reaction to traditional Irish influence in USA…President Kennedy.
I think it’s not unusual for people to re-invent themselves as minorities but it seems that Ulster Scots are unconvincing mainly because they have suppressed their own culture in the name of unionism.
Angry white men culture is common enough in Britain and USA.
We talk about the Culture Wars. Are all cultures equally valid…are they expressions of mere identity…national identity ….or an expression of politics.
In the first case that seems valid.
less valid in terms of politics.

For example Irish culture seems to be about Irish language, Irish music, Irish sports….And unionists feel threatened by it. Yet some aspects of loyalist culture….right wing politics seem threatening. Is it really right to tolerate extremism in the name of culture.
Are Orange Kick the Pope bands an expression of culture.
In some senses the Orange Order is not very different from the ku Klux Klan. Can the Klan be tolerated better now in 2013…..when it is marginalised..and shown to be a pathetic bunch of losers .than in 1963 when it was powerful.
The point is that things are easier tolerated when they have been defeated. I have seen (defeated) Mexican flags here in semi official ways here in Texas
…banks…car lots
but never seen an Irish flag in a semi official or official capacity in Norn Iron. But that’s the problem with a conflict ending without a victor.
Take the Civil War, there was reconstruction ….WW2 there was de Nzification…..in Vietnam re-education camps.
And this is what Conflict Resolution seems to be doing with me.
Sending me off to a re-education camp to lose my current identity and find another acceptable one.

The Demographics will become increasingly POLITICAL
Protestants are now just 48% Catholic 45% and 7% unspecified
this means that unionists can no longer rely on a totally Protestant vote.
To what extent can unionists reach out to Catholics…to support the Union.
Are they…or some of them just too toxic.?
Does Politics need to change as organisations like Platform for Change insist.
people are understandably conservative or socialist.
But we have the situation where the two unionist parties are conservative and the two nationalist parties are socialist.
Therefore a fiscally conservative Catholic has no natural conservative Party to vote for.
likewise a socialist Protestant has no natural socialist party to vote for.
Therefore there is a movement to have British political parties organise in Norn Iron. The British Conservatives are wary …there are no votes in it…even though they are a unionist party.
The British Labour Party while professing neutrality is traditionally supportive of Irish nationalism. besides they can’t realistically organise in Norn Iron because SDLP is a sister party in the European Socialism. They are BOTH members of the PES. They can’t compete.
But even then this…..so called normalisation of politics is not a neutral value. It is actually a unionist value.
s I said earlier nationalism NEEDS grievance and there are reforms that have been banked….Health, Welfare, Education….and now Housing and Jobs. Symbolism regarding expressions of Irishness is the single outstanding issue.

people visit Belfast to see the post conflict situation. The murals …showing support for IRA or UVF were originally not tolerated…then as you will see from postcards sold in stores that were supportive. Then post conflict they are mainstream and there are now murals depicting non conflict situations.

we have an unrelenting campaign to make us feel good about ourselves. The MTV Award Shows, the Titanic, Rory McIlroy the Golfer, the G8 Summit….the Our Time Our Place Campaign.
Do historians have a role? As you will probably see from readings, post 1922 Irish historians wrote Britishness out of Irish History, unionist historians wrote Irishness out of NoRN Irons history.
TheY wrote to a narrative.
They have since written to a revisionist narrative.
Now they are writing to a new narrative of SHARED HISTORY to compliment the SHARED FUTURE of Conflict Resolutionists. This decade is one of Centenaries…the Easter Rising, Battle of the Somme, Irish independence etc and there is a programme to make this a SHARED experience.

We are a divided society …is it a good thing or a bad thing?
Does it matter as long as we are not killing each other?
The BERLIN WaLL Is down but we have 59 walls, barricades, gates separating Catholics from Protestants…mostly  in Belfast and nine have been erected since the signing of the GFA.
It has been suggested that these walls come down by 2022.
The prime consideration has to be the security of the people ho actually live alongside the walls.
There is one largely invisible border between Norn Iron and the Republic….but effectively there are more than fifty nine borders….landscaping and villages which are three miles apart are just as effective as borders.

But it’s not actually about Security …it’s about the freedom to be Irish or British equally lgiimatly….all over NI.
Is Seperate But Equal a benign form of Apartheid?
And I say that conscious of the fact that I was occasionally a member of the Anti Apartheid Movement. in the 1970s
Essentially we are happier with the Past than we are with the Future.

As the old saying goes
To Hell With The Future.
Long Live the Past
May GOD In HIS Mercy be good to Belfast.

Go raibh maith agaibh

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There Are No “Game Changers”

You have probably noticed that for a man who couldn’t give a tinkers curse for opinion polls, I spend a lot of time thinking about them. Thanks to Hobo for the figures and to BangorDub for the link to the News Letter piece by Sam McBride….we can see that yet again an opinion poll is much ado about nothing.

Discussion Boards talk about game changers. But if we apply Sam McBrides coping that some parties are under-stated in polls while others are over-stated then we can see again…yet again …that the landscape has not changed.

With the REAL figures and FANTASY figures in brackets, what exactly can we say about a potential trend.

DUP 30.0…..(25.1  but “understated”???)….not good news for them but not devastating.

Sinn Fein 27….(21.7 but “understated”????…..the same.

SDLP 14.2 ……(18.6  but “overstated??????……..encouraging, slide certainly stopped and good for morale.

UUP 13.2…..(13.2 but overstated?????’).   Not good news except in the sense that it is not a melt down.

Alliance 7.7 …(10.2 but overstated ?????) encouraging but no breakthru on the basis of the back of the attacks on them. Sympathy has its limits.

So there is no Game Changer……Certainly not in the Flegs Dispute.

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Polls Apart

I don’t like opinion polls…I don’t like “bad ones” and I don’t like “good ones”.

From five thousand miles Norn Iron is very distant. Especially when it is 7pm and temperatures soared to 81 degrees.

But I hear there is an opinion poll out which is showing a majority of North Korean proportions rejecting a United Ireland. I hate to rain on Sluggers parade…but it seems to me that nobody is actually offering a united Ireland in the short term.

So it’s a fairly irrelevant poll. It may however be pointed out that the vast numbers of Catholics claimed to be against a united Ireland are not actually voting for unionist parties…or indeed the “agnostic” (I know ….I’m laughing myself) Alliance Party. Or put in another way, the Alliance Party are under-performing.

All of this must be extremely uncomfortable for Alliance Party apologists in the media and on some websites.

They can’t really take much comforts in the opinion poll on the fantasy state of the parties. Meaningless figures. But enough there to surely s change the narrative even of the most dedicated Alliance apologist.

I don’t give a tinkers curse for the numbers. But from a purely SDLP members perspective…..nothing has changed. Despite the fantasy 18.6% being a significant fantasy improvement. Certainly since the debacle of Assembly 2011, the ship has been steadied…and certainly since summer 2012, SDLP will be satisfied at an improvement.

I have been dismissive of reports of SDLPs terminal decline. So it’s not for me to feel validated by the poll. Rather it is for those who believed earlier polls to accept this one. All I claim is that SDLP are “in the game”….no more, no less than I have previously claimed.

And that’s bad news for Alliance…who can with DUP nibble at UUP votes . But those voters are unionist and Alliance need to be gaining votes from BOTH UUP and SDLP to be credible as a middle ground pàrty. All they are doing is gaining more liberal unionist votes and becoming increasingly dependant on that electorate makes the Alliance Party even more toxic to nationalists.

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Hi From The Lone Star State

Howdy…just an update on how I am doing here.

Its now 6am Texas time (noon Irish time) on Thursday. I arrived here on Monday evening. The real work starts today. Monday evening was just about settling in.

Tusday was out and about. San Marcos is about thirty miles from Austin, the State capital.  In fact those of you who like Country Rock music wilbe realise that I am living the lyrics of a Steve Earle song….I’m just outta Austin bound for San Antone.

This is South Texas, the liberal part of the State. In part because San Marcos is a “college” town. The Campus dominates the town. Lyndon B Johnson went here. And I will be in the Johnson Museum later today.

Tuesday we had lunch…fish n chips in the city’s Irish Bar. Fish and Chips. Met up wiso friends on Tuesday night.

Yesterday was my first day on the campus. Two reactions to just about everything I saw. “exactly like Queens” “totally different from Queens” The cluster of churches/religious centres just off the official campus is a reminder of Elmwood Avenue. The “Old Main” Building …I’ve not seen yet up close is currently being renovated and there are much more modern buildings on site. It is simply beautiful.

There are about twenty five stalls run by students. Raising money for causes…selling Tshirts, juice etc. The Colleges Republicans are celebrating Ronald Reagans birthday. And Wells Fargo bank gave me some freebies…..

Lunch at International House of Pancakes with two friends. A bit of craic with the waitress….SHE tipped ME. Or maybe it was a bribe to make sure I never go back.

More craic last night. …my friends made tacos.

So now almost 7am….Time to hit the road.

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