From Basil McIvor To Basil McCrea…

Posted on March 14, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

I have been watching “liberal unionism” for over forty years. And playing poker almost as long……….and I know a busted flush when I see one. When the cards are dealt, there is some Hope. But it all ends in Failure.

Take the Spring of 1969. Newly elected Stormont MP for Larkfield, Basil McIvor visited our school and talked to the A Level students. Those of us studying Politics (or Economics and Political Studies as it was then) felt a kinda buzz. He was……if I recall “our” MP……the school was probably inside his constituency. It was a day like today…..crisp in early Spring…..who knows it might even have been 14th March 1969. McIvor was a “liberal” unionist, elected a month previously at the Crossroads Election.to support to Terence O’Neill.

Although we did not know it in March 1969, McIvor’s career had already peaked. Within six weeks, O’Neill had resigned as Prime Minister of Norn Iron and been replaced by James Chichester-Clark. And in August 1969, before we returned to school for that final “A” level year………..the Troubles had broken out and everything was too late anyway. McIvor worked on in the Unionist Party and within two years was Minister for Community Relations in Brian Faulkner’s Cabinet. …during Internment. Without a hint of Irony, he was a big supporter of Amnesty International. Liberal?

More honourably, McIvor was Minister for Education during the 1974 Sunningdale Power Sharing Executive. And when that collapsed McIvor dropped out of Politics and was a prominent Judge. In fairness, he will be better remembered as an advocate of Integrated Edcucation. Thats the fate of “liberal” unionists. Political Failure.

Look at other “liberal” unionists from 1969……Robert Porter (left Unionist Party and politics became a Judge), Robin Baillie (actually quite right wing but left the Unionists joined the Alliance Party…….went to the Law), Richard Ferguson (left Unionist Party and became high profile barrister……in England) and Tom Caldwell left Unionist Party, joined Alliance who dropped him, developed his Fine Arts Gallery).

In 1969, McIvor, Porter, Baillie, Ferguson and Caldwell looked like a “good hand” but ultimately became a busted flush.

Other Unionists notably Peter McLachlan in the 1970s have been lauded as “liberal” but disappeared from mainstream politics.

The 2010 Westminster Election produced a group of UUP candidates heralded as “liberal”.

Bill Mainwaring (West Belfast) is now a Conservative. Trevor Ringland (East Belfast) has left politics to be a leading figure in Platform for Change. Paula Bradshaw (South Belfast is now Mrs Parsley) left the UUP a few months later and joined the Alliance Party……she is already on the Party Executive but unlikely to progress. Husband Ian Parsley (North Down) left UUP to be a Tory but canvassed for Alliance in 2011 (he left the Party in 2009) and although likely to join the Alliance Party (again!) he has little hope of advancement. Harry Hamilton (Upper Bann) joined the Alliance Party in 2011 and was fast tracked to stand and fail in the 2011 Assembly Election.

Mainwaring, Ringland, Bradshaw, Parsley and Hamilton also looked like a decent hand. Another busted flush.

Staying within the UUP was Basil McCrea who ws perhaps heralded as the Great White Hope of the “liberal” Unionists. He was defeated for the Leadership of the UUP by Tom Elliott in 2010 and his decision to not let his name go forward (now that Elliott has resigned) and to back John McCallister signafies that McCrea has given up on his own ambitions.

“Liberal” Unionism has been the most over-rated failure in Norn Iron Politics……for which nationalists are extremely grateful.

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“Labour in Norn Iron” Conference

Posted on March 13, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

Having some time on my hands on Saturday, I went along to the “Labour Party in Norn Iron” Conference. This is best described as a group of fantasists who want …….indeed insist…..that the British Labour Party organises here. Despite feeble protestations, they are essentially unionist. “Normal Politics”……..ie ignoring the consitutional position of Norn Iron…..is a unionist position.

Robin Wilson, leading advocate of “lets get alongerism” thru Platform For Change was at the Conference.

The Norn Iron “Labour” people are essentially people who profess to be involved in politics while making extraordinary efforts to make sure that they remain marginalised. While I must emphasise that the only photograph I took was during the lunch break….and the room almost deserted….the arrangement of the tables …..seemed to indicate a poor attendance. Indeed “Conference” seems a grandiose term for the event. The Minutes from the 2011 “Conference” indicate that only fifty eight members attended that event……and of these seventeen were elected to the Party Executive.

Membership of LPNI stands at (officially) 325. Of these over one-fifth are students at Queens University. It is in the nature of university students that many do not set up permenant residence in their university town. Indeed the LPNI Student Officer resigned during the year and moved to Liverpool.

A reasonable assumption is that some of the QUB members are from England, Scotland and Wales and want to retain a connexion to “British” politics thru a local Labour Party.

Of course, it is a very welcome development that people who move to Norn Iron become involved in our politics. We have the excellent examples (to name but two) of Anna Lo (Alliance Party-Rowntree) and Magdalena Wolska (SDLP). There are of course others. It is a very healthy sign. It is a very unhealthy sign when political parties cannot attract our new people into their ranks. And arguably it is just as unhealthy if their membership is unbalanced by over-representation of an “ethnic” minority such as………er English people.

Although I only stayed for about twenty-five minutes, the arrangement of the room did not indicate a serious Party Conference (and of course it was no such thing). It seemed more likea medium sized wedding reception………although the red balloons on tables did suggest ……a speed dating event.

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Afghanistan…Carry On Up The Khyber

Posted on March 12, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

The bad news coming out of Afghanistan is truly shocking. Late last week six British soldiers were killed by a roadside bomb. This almost pales into insignificance with the news that a “rogue” American soldier killed sixteen Afghan civilians including several children.

As an Irish person, I am of course neutral. I find Islamist extremists repulsive…their treatment of women, girls, Christians, homosexuals and other groups is simply barbaric. But I find the quasi-imperialism of the American and British led war against Terror (a risible concept anyway) to be hypocrisy of the highest order.

Effectively Afghanistan is a country that only exists in name. The writ of the corrupt and generously bankrolled Karzai Government does not run beyond some tribal areas where palms have been generously greased. Rather Afghanistan is a relic from the middle ages and the people especially in some areas close to Pakistan have more in common with their Pashtun/Pathan kin across the non existent border. The “War” against the Taliban is actually a proxy war against pan-Pashtun-Pathan tribalism. Legally it can be fought on the Afghan side of the border (Afghanistan is a failed state) but it cannot be fought in Pakistan because Pakistan is a large and established nation which just happens to have nuclear weapons.

The fiction is that Pakistan is an ally in the War against “Terror”. In fact Pakistan is a barely functional coalition of ethnic groups including the Pashtun-Pathans and other factions such as the (elected) government, the military and religious zealots. As seen in the killing of Osama Bin Laden, the Pakistanis are unreliable allies of the West. And the West are extremely unreliable allies of Pakistan.

The tragedy after 9/11 was to go into a war with Iraq…..a brutal and nasty regime which at least had a secular government…….in alliance with Saudi Arabia also a nasty and brutal regime ruled by religious fanatics. There is far too much Irony. The Saudi terrorists on 9/11 were trained in the Pashtun-Pathan areas of Afghanistan but got flying lessons in the United States. And the British bombers on 7/7 in London went to religious schools in Pakistan, having been recruited in…Britain.

The high-minded rhetoric which told us all that going to war in Afghanistan was all about ensuring that little girls got an education or that women were not stoned to death, Christians imprisoned and homosexuals hanged…….was always nonsense.

A Hearts and Mind Campaign? Have we heard this before? Did General Westmoreland not say this at press conferences in Vietnam? That worked out well!. Did Brigadier Farrar-Hockley not say the same at press conferences in Belfast? That also worked out well!!

In fairness politicians probably mean it when they talk about Hearts and Minds. The Generals know that it is double-speak and bullshit. And the soldiers take their cue accordingly. War is War. It is brutal and brutalising. And there are excesses. And there is a nod and a wink that suggests that it is ok to engage in excess. Just dont get caught. And if a nod and wink is not appropriate….well a blind eye will be turned. Or as General Hollingsworth put it better…..”Grab them by their balls and their hearts and minds will follow”. This must be a quote known to every soldier “on the ground”. The downside is of course that sometimes real soldiers are actually charged with crimes. Some perhaps are scape-goated. It happened in Vietnam. It happened in Norn Iron. It is happening in Afghanistan. But soldiers DO get away with murder.

Thus the My Lai Massacre in Vietnam is regarded by Americans as unique. Only Lt William Calley served a prison sentence. But not actually in prison. House arrest in a military camp for three years was hardly appropriate. Even less appropriate was the failure to prosecute anyone from the British Paratroop regiment for the Bloody Sunday Massacre in Derry in 1972.

The Military will argue that soldiers are under unique pressure and deserve overwhelming benefit of doubt. From my perspective soldiers have a unique responsibility.

As indeed do politicians. Troops pull out of Afghanistan in 2014. As certainly as they pulled out of Vietnam. Or off Belfast streets. And as certainly the Taliban will inherit Afganistan. It is that obvious. So why stay there? Well last week I heard someone say that the British and Americans “owe it to the fallen heroes” to fight on until 2014………..which is of course bullshit. Much better to avoid more deaths when the result of the conflict is already known.

As I compose this, it is stated that the most recent outrage was committed by a single murderer. A staff sergeant. But there is a pattern emerging where “isolated incidents” are no such thing. The “Kill Team” which murdered Afghans at random. The You Tube footage of soldiers urinating on dead Taliban……a centuries old military tradition before You Tube.. The accidental or callous burning of the Qoran.

Right wing pundits in the United States will rally round the killer of Afghan women and children. He was “traumatised”. Brutalised by War, we can expect to see photographs of a loving father at a little league baseball game. Loving parents in Iowa or Nebraska will talk of the son who only wanted to serve his country. Bill O’Reilly, Shaun Hannity and Glenn Beck will talk about the need for respect for veterans. The killer will have the best available legal team. He will be defended vigourosly on patriotic websites.

And indeed everyone has a right to mount a vigourous defence and if mental health is an issue, then I hope that avenue is fully explored.

But my gut feeling is that the fate of convicted American terrorist Timothy McVeigh does not await this American. More likely the fate is that of Lt William Calley…..house arrest and a Presidential decree that “time is served”.

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The Labour Party in Norn Iron…God Love Them.

Posted on March 9, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

The Labour Party in Norn Iron……they havent gone away you know.

They are holding their annual conference (no seriously dont laugh!) in a South Belfast hotel tomorrow.

For years the British Labour Party never organised in Norn Iron. The Party’s default position was pro-Irish unity not least because of the large numbers of Irish people living in England. It was also a matter of principle.

It is a matter of “franchise”. The British Labour Party is a member of Socialist International. So is the Irish Labour Party in the Republic of Ireland. And so is the SDLP based in Norn Iron……but advocates of Irish Unity.

Where exactly does this leave “lefties” who are…..unionist? Well……basically it leaves them out in the cold. The pro-Union parties (UUP and DUP) are to the right of the British Conservative Party. The socialist parties (SDLP and Sinn Féin) are pro-Irish Unity.

Belfast’s socialists from….basically the Protestant community……satisfy themselves by working thru trade unions, phoning the SDLP to get help on issues of workers rights……….but will not lift a finger to help the SDLP. They also sit around in bars in Belfast’s trendy Cathedral Quarter……petitioning even demanding that the Labour Party in Britain ……….organise “in this part of the United Kingdom”.

Kate Hoey, a British Labour MP was born in Norn Iron. She is pro-union and she and other Labour types like Nick Rainsford have been advocating that Labour organise here. But basicaly Labour in London could not be bothered.

Essentially the British Labour Party is a coalition. The needs and aspirations of Labour voters in heartlands like Yorkshire and south Lancashire are very different from those in west of Scotland heartlands. And the London metropolitan socialist is very different again. And of course Norn Iron is unique.

So in South Belfast tomorrow, advocates of a non-sectarian (British) Labour Party will gather and lament that they are not taken seriously in London. But there is no such thing as “value free” Labour. A “non-sectarian” NI Labour Party is in fact a unionist Party.

The Labour Party………within England, Scotland and Wales is also pro-union. That is NOT sectarian. The Irish Labour Party is quite properly pro-repbublican. In other words both the British and Irish Labour Parties are…….nationalist (British or Irish).

So the SDLP is nationalist (Irish). Big deal. The NI Labour Party is also just as nationalist (British). Get over it.

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So Farewell Then Tom Elliott

Posted on March 9, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

Tom Elliott, Leader of the UUP resigned tonight.

He was elected to the position in the summer of 2010. Perhaps not surprisingly…….seemingly twenty per cent of the UUP voters who elected him were from his Fermanagh-South Tyrone constituency.

Elliott is a throw back to the days when the UUP was the dominant party in Norn Iron. But he seems to be living in 1966 and simply out of his depth. The fifteen members of the UUP are not all Fermanagh farmers….they are a diverse bunch. Possibly too individualistic or belonging to a faction to be a coherent Party.

Now that Elliott has stood down, technically any of the other fourteen could be elected Leader. But five have been publicly named as possible.

Elliott is typically old style “unionist” and that Orange Order, rural backround is probably still the biggest component part in the UUP but the drawback is that similar MLAs to Elliott …..Hussey, and Beggs have no real clout. Copeland, Cree and Gardiner are little more than lobby fodder. Dobson and Overend are women and I cannot see UUP being ready for that even if it is International Womens Day and they were oth like Swann elected in 2011.

That leaves six. Mike Nesbitt wants it. The former UTV journalist is to me……all hype and no substance. He gets on well with journalists and is photogenic and can present himself well on TV………..but thats all there is to him. Yet it might be enough. I suspect that his natural leanings are more socially “liberal” than traditional UUP members.

Basil McCrea is too obviously “liberal” and not quite trusted enough by traditionalists. John McCallister is “liberal”, an all-round nice guy but has the advantage of a rural seat……albeit not a safe one. He is also in favour of UUP going into Opposition.

This leaves three. Surprisingly nobody mentioned Michael McGimpsey, veteran UUP former Minister. He has an unfortunate funereal appearance. But he might be a good compromise…….as would Danny Kennedy, the only UUP Minister. He is a safer pair of hands than Nesbitt.

Surprisingly perhaps Danny Kinahan was mentioned tonight by Alex Kane, the political commentator. Yet it makes a lot of sense. I like Danny Kinahan.His family have served Norn Iron well. His father was Unionist “Lord” Mayor of Belfast and the family business Lyle & Kinahan was literally on my walk from home to school every day. An uncle Charles Kinahan was a founder member of the Alliance Party.

Thus Danny Kinahan actually ticks a lot of boxes. He is a decent guy, served as an officer in the British Army (a plus for unionists), has liberal sentiments and has that “big house” appeal. He is also capable. Frankly he was not a name that came to mind but when Alex Kane mentioned him….my first reaction was that it makes a lot of sense. Yet it is……..as several have said……the worst job in Norn Iron politics.

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Parsley Watch

Posted on March 8, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

A good night for those of us who have taken a keen interest in the political career of Ian Parsley.

Alliance councillor elected on the last count in Holywood DEA (North Down) 2005. Alliance candidate…..defected to Conservative Unionists and stood unsuccessfully at Westminster 2010 Election. Then he…er left the Tories. Last reported to have canvassed for the Alliance Party in six or seven constituencies in the Assembly Election of 2011.

On 9th September 2011, Mr Parsley in his blog mentioned SDLP and loyalty …….and I made a comment to the effect that Mr Parsley was perhaps not best placed to talk about Party loyalty. Mr Parsley took this rather badly and suggested I “was playing the man and not the ball” and deleted a perfectly reasonable comment.

Tonight I notice that Mr Parsley has indicated a preference for Alliance over UUP. How long can it be before Mr Parsley rejoins Alliance. Surely he has served his time in the wilderness. The Alliance Conference is in April at La Mon Hotel……hmmmmm. Will Parsley rejoin in time.

It has been a good week for the Parsley family. Paula Bradshaw (Mrs Ian Parsley) was UUP candidate for South Belfast in 2010, left the Party later in the year and brought her portfolio of skills to the Alliance Party. Last weekend she was elected to the Alliance Party Executive.

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The Scottish Referendum…Quintin Oliver Steps In!

Posted on March 8, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

Interesting piece by Quintin Oliver on Slugger O’Toole-Stratagem site……..how to win a Scottish Refendum.

So no sense of Irony…..in his “ten iron rules”.

How exactly did the AV Referendum go Quintin? Was Stratagem perhaps involved?

 

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Can We Shake On It? Seemingly Not

Posted on March 7, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

The British Olympics Team are being advised not to shake hands with people during the Games. Seemingly there is a chance of infection and highly trained athletes are very vulnerable to even minor infections which can have a bad effect on performance. Is that really convincing? I dont think so. Seems more likely that athletes and indeed the public at large are being warned off shaking hands with people alleged to have different………ahem…….standards. Which seems like fairly standard Racism.

As I understand it over 10,000 athletes will be housed in the “Olympic Village”. The vast majority will be fit, healthy, young people aged between 18 to 30. The biggest 18-30 holiday experience ever. Anyone who knows anything about an Olympic Village will know that shaking hands should be the least of the British Olympic teams worries……in terms of passing infection.

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Paula Bradshaw Elected To Alliance Party Executive!!!

Posted on March 7, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

When Paula Bradshaw (and then Harry Hamilton) left the UUP ……there was an exchange of views on the Slugger O’Toole (partner of Stratagem who advises Rowntree which funds the Alliance Party) as to whether they would be fast-tracked by the Alliance Party……if they joined……….which they eventually did.

I suggested that they would be (and indeed possibly should be)……but I took the counsel of Alliance members who suggested that they would not. I suppose “fast tracked” is a relative term. But a matter of months after leaving UUP Harry Hamilton fought the 2011 Assembly Elections for Alliance. And now I note just eighteen months after leaving the UUP, Paula Bradshaw has been elected to the Alliance Party Executive, where her portfolio of skills are obviously valued.

As I have said “fast tracking” is relative. But I see no harm in it. Hamilton did well running for the Alliance Party in tandem with party stalwart Sheila McQuaid from Banbridge who I tend to believe was on the ticket with Hamilton to deflect from his fast tracking. After all the local Alliance Party is hardly very visible. Seemingly the Upper Bann Alliance folks did not know Brendan Heading was their candidate for the Westminster Election in 2010 until they saw him in a TV debate.

The problem with new recruits from other parties to the is that it impacts on the second tier of Alliance politicians. People like Heading, Andy Muir, Michael Bower and Cathy Curran are pushed down the pecking order. And of course there is the additional problem that Hamilton and Bradshaw have joined Alliance from the UUP……..a conservative party……..and naturally their instincts are to the right of most Alliance people. Presumably if more liberal unionists (a risible term anyway) join Alliance t will drift to the right……arguably to the advantage of Stephen Farry when he takes on Naomi Long for the leadership of the Party.

In a sense Bradshaw can claim that she has not been fast-tracked at all. She has merely offered her portfolio of skills to the Party and they have elected her. But surely her place on the Party Executive is but a stepping stone to a place in Stormont. Obviously she is associated with South Belfast ……Director of the Greater Village Regeneration Trust ……..and stood there as a UUP candidate (Westminster 2010). She is or has been a member of the Newtownabbey District Policing Board which gives her connexions to South Antrim, East Antrim and possibly North Belfast……which means that veterans David Ford and Stewart Dickson might bequeath her a seat in Stormont. Or maybe Billy Webb, the former tax inspector will be stepping aside.

Bradshaw even has connexions thru hubby Ian Parsley to North Down. Parsley himself has canvassed for the Alliance Party in six or seven constituencies in 2011……..which is certainly praiseworthy……until its noted he was an Alliance candidate in 2009 European elections, UUP-Conservative in 2010. But surely his rehabilitation with Alliance cannot be much longer delayed. A grateful Party rejoices?

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Has SDLP Turned The Corner?

Posted on March 6, 2012 by fitzjameshorse

It is now four months since the SDLP Annual Conference and the election of Alasdair McDonnell to replace Margaret Ritchie.

Although Alasdair got off to a shaky start…that initial speech will haunt him……..and there was that furore over MLA salaries, things look to be going reasonably well for the Party at the moment. Of course it is mid-term and the SDLP (and probably all other parties) are not ready to fight an election. There are however encouraging signs that the SDLP has finally “got it”.

By way of recapping………let me make myself clear. I was a member of SDLP from 1973 thru to 1981/82. I voted SDLP until 1993 and until 2009 I voted for Sinn Fein. In 2009, 2010 and 2011 I voted SDLP.

I am a socialist. I am a republican. I am a nationalist. I vote in accord with my ideals and the interests of my self and family……and indeed the ideals and interests of a wider community.

Since 2005 and more obviously since 2009, I have been active politically. I blogged in support of the SDLP prior to the 2011 election, attended four hustings and three SDLP fundraisers which led to connexions with several SDLP people. Although I joined the SDLP in August/September 2011, the Party still treats me as a detached, quirky and slightly maverick……even untrustworthy figure.

I suspect this is because I have not been overly supportive of some leading SDLP figures although the constraints and responsibilities of Party membership means that I am more cautious about what I blog. I think its also fair to say the SDLP realises its mistakes (even if it cannot publicly acknowledge them) and some people have changed………or simply improved their performance.

My position remains that the working class, nationalist and republican people need two political parties from which to choose and the decline of the SDLP has not been a good thing. Indeed the triumphalism of Sinn Féin needs to be countered. The arrogance of Sinn Féin has not been its most endearing feature.

Perhaps the most positive signs for the SDLP at the moment is that Sinn Féin has made some mistakes. The “Printer Gate” scandal in An Dáil has been a totally self-inflicted wound and of course Sinn Féin is involved in making more “cuts” in government than SDLP. There is an opportunity to exploit this. And the curious sight of Sinn Féin (and indeed DUP) rushing to the middle ground leaves it open on its republican wing. There is a certain challenge to the SDLP to hold fast to republican ideology and not fall for too much “lets get alongerism” in the decade of real and pretend centenaries. Obviously thats a delicate balance.

Perhaps the most interesting development within the SDLP has been the emergence of a strong SDLP Youth. There is certainly a lot of talent there. As I am an extremely old person……young people scare me…..and people of their generation will be around making decisions when I am officially past it. Increasingly it is THEIR world (politics is as generational as music and culture) and I feel uncomfortable in the world they are making. That is the nature of things. Yet there is also a lot of “heart”. And I can identify with that. The recent SDLP QUB Branch campaign to highlight restrictions on blood donations by gay people is a case in point. Obviously there is a danger that young people are seduced by the “social” aspect of politics.

Have the SDLP “got” it? Finally? Well the listening campaign seems to be going well. There is a certain enthusiasm for the fight among SDLP politicians. I believe they are a talented and sincere group………..but……….ah yes there has to be a “but”………….but I wonder if they may just be too nice.

The SDLP has got to rivals for votes. And its unfortunate that in all six counties the rival is Sinn Féin and that in Antrim and Down…..or more precisely Belfast and suburbia,, the Alliance Party (funded massively by Rowntree Foundation which is advised by Stratagem which is partner to the Slugger O’Toole website). This means that tactically the Alliance Party has slipped under the SDLP radar. And is a very serious rival in places such as South Antrim, East Antrim, Strangford and Lagan Valley. These are the places the SDLP should be targetting.

The relationship between SDLP and Sinn Féin in say North Belfast, West Belfast and Upper Bann has often been vitriolic. The relationship between SDLP and Alliance has often been pleasant. This needs to change. This is 2012……where Alliance Party feels “entitled” to two seats in the Executive with just eight Assembly seats and believes the SDLP is entitled to one Executive seat with fourteen Assembly seats. In the bad old days SDLP was formed to combat that kind of gerrymander. Lets be frank …this is NOT the Alliance Party of 1972..this is not a Party of Fair Play. It has a nasty right wing tendency……….note the inability to vote against welfare cuts. And that right wing……emboldened by UUP and “conservative” defectors to a so-called middle ground is growing. There is a tension there to be exploited by SDLP.

Essentially the SDLP is fighting on two battlefronts and needs two strategies, rather than one. Yet I fear that the Party may have talent, policy, even luck…….but I wonder if it really has the “bottle” to take on the Alliance Party.

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