Sammy McNally raised some interesting points in a comment on my earlier thread in which I suggested that the Decade of Centenaries…..and the Half Centenaries……provide an opportunity for SDLP and UUP.
I want to develop that point further, with particular reference to the SDLP of which I am a member.
I consistently voted for SDLP from 1970 (technically Gerry Fitt was still Republican Labour at that point) until 1993. I switched to voting Sinn Féin for localised personal reasons….although my wife a much more forgiving person than I am continued to vote SDLP. I suppose it was some time after 1998 Good Friday Agreement that I would have really got over that localised personal issue and voted on logical issues….my principles and self interest. There was of course a choice. The SDLP and belatedly Sinn Féin are two constitutional nationalist parties. They are therefore the only choice I make at the ballot box. I voted Sinn Féin because they seemed less likely to compromise on the basics. The SDLP……particuarly some leading members seemed too anxious to compromise. I think the fact that so many nationalist voters drained away from the SDLP as evidence that many felt the same way.
To some extent, the St Andrews Agreement in 2007 was a turning point. Sinn Féin were overly enjoying the trappings of power and had a rather arrogant streak. They were the Party I saw as overly anxious to hold the reins of power, almost for its own sake.
Therefore I voted SDLP in the 2009 Euro Elections, at Westminster 2010 and the Assembly 2011.
From my perspective:
1998: SDLP (constitutional) SF (almost constitutional) but personal issues made me vote Sinn Féin. And the more general nationalist population edged towards SDLP.
2003: A more “logical” choice but voted Sinn Féin. SDLP over-anxious to compromise. SF seen as standing up to unionism.
2007: Two constitutional parties but SF stronger on the basics.
2011: Two constitutional parties but as I saw it SF just too arrogant and the SDLP needed to be bolstered as nationalism needed a choice.
2015: Now much too early to say but as I have indicated they are both constiutional………but really which Party is more prepared to stand up to Unionism and the Alliance. Sinn Féin has after all promoted the Alliance gerrymander. Mainstream nationalist voters are bound to be confused. Having given Sinn Féin the benefit of the doubt over SDLP as the stronger constitutional nationalist party…….it might be logical to see SDLP as stronger next time round.
Now I dont deny that there are difficulties in becoming or seeming to become more stridently nationalist. SDLP fights Sinn Féin west of the Bann where Alliance only exists on paper. Sinn Féin has only one rival…….SDLP in all constituencies. But in the ring of constituencies around Belfast…….East Antrim, South Antrim, Lagan Valley, Strangford and North Down (this one unwinnable for any nationalist)…….the SDLP fights on two fronts (SF and Alliance). SDLP will however be helped by the Alliance Party’s drift to the “right”……..with Parsley, Bradshaw and Hamilton on board.
So the question is …..which constitutional nationalist party stoops further to accomodate unionism?
